House outlook for Republicans bolstered by surging Ball candidacy
As Republican congressional candidate Greg Ball gains momentum in his bid for congress, the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics has joined other national handicappers in ranking Ball’s bid to capture New York’s 19th congressional district amongst the top pickup opportunities for Republicans in 2010.
The two term state legislator, who was buoyed this week by an endorsement from the Republican National Hispanic Assembly of Orange County, seeks to unseat a sophomore incumbent Democrat who represents the traditionally Republican nineteenth district and is well known for voting with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi 98 percent of the time, according to the Washington Post.
Center Director Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball website now joins national publications including Roll Call and Congressional Quarterly in rating the 19th district as ‘leans democratic.’ Sabato predicts that Republicans will gain between 20 and 30 seats in 2010, and currently rates twenty-three incumbent or open seats held by Democrats as ‘toss-up’ and ‘leans Democratic.’
According to Sabato, “If 2010 is a Republican year, as it now looks to be…many of these Democrats will perish.”